Fire Weather

Spots and SPC Fire Outlooks
SPOT Forecasts - SPC Fire
Day 1
Day 2
Day 3-8

SD GFDI
Day 1
Day 2
WFO ABR GFDI (GHWO)
Day 1
Day 2
Day 3
Day 4
Day 5
Day 6
Day 7
Hot Dry Windy Index
Today's Median GEFS HDWI
Today's Maximum GEFS HDWI
Mobridge
Pierre
Aberdeen
Watertown
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Fire Danger and Fuel Conditions
Observed Fire Danger Class
Forecast Fire Danger Class

HRB - Live Herbaceous Fuel Moisture
Fcst-Day1
Fcst-Day2
Fcst-Day3
Fcst-Day4
Fcst-Day5
Fcst-Day6
Fcst-Day7
Obs: -10 Days
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Obs: -6 Days
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HRB Values >120% generally make it easier for fires to be contained.
  • HRB = >30% to 50%: Mostly to completely cured, treat as dead fuels.
  • HRB = >50% to 80%: Significant yellowing and curing. Live fuels contributing to spread.
  • HRB = >80% to 100%: Green color pales. Grasses become less resistant to spread.
  • HRB = >100% to 120%: Mature foliage, new growth complete, and comparable to older perennial foliage. Flammable shrubs should burn. Grasses resist spread.
  • HRB = >120% to 150%: Mature foliage, new growth complete, and comparable to older perennial foliage. Shrubs and grasses resist spread.
  • HRB = >150% to 300%: Maturing foliage still developing. Fresh foliage fully expanded, vigorously growing. Early in growing cycle.
Source

10 Hr. Fuel Moisture (Obs)
10 Hr. Fuel Moisture (Fcst)
KBDI (Obs)
KBDI (Fcst)

  • KBDI = 0 - 200: Soil moisture and large class fuel moistures are high and do not contribute much to fire intensity. Typical of spring dormant season following winter precipitation.
  • KBDI = 200 - 400: Typical of late spring, early growing season. Lower litter and duff layers are drying and beginning to contribute to fire intensity.
  • KBDI = 400 - 600: Typical of late summer, early fall. Lower litter and duff layers actively contribute to fire intensity and will burn actively.
  • KBDI = 600 - 800: Often associated with more severe drought with increased wildfire occurrence. Intense, deep burning fires with significant downwind spotting can be expected. Live fuels can also be expected to burn actively at these levels.

NOAA/GEFS Week 2 (8-14 Day) Forecast
Burning Index
Ignition Component
Energy Release Component
Spread Component
Precipitation
Cloud Cover
Humidity
Temperature
Wind Speed

Fire Ignition and Large Fire Forecasts