834
FXUS63 KABR 112316 AAA
AFDABR

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
516 PM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Colder temperatures arriving Thursday through Saturday, with highs
only in the 30s and 40s and lows in the 20s to upper teens. Above
normal temperatures likely returning by early next week.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 513 PM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

The forecast remains on track this evening. No major changes are
planned.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1205 PM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

As of noon CST, temperatures across the area are in the upper
40s across most of the area, in the low 50s across south
central SD. A cold front made its way across the area this
morning, leaving behind northerly winds at around 10 to 15 mph
and cooler temperatures.

High pressure will move in from the north through the rest of the
day and into Thursday. This high starts to slowly move east Friday
and by Saturday afternoon is centered over MN. Winds out of the
south on the backside of the high will advect cooler air into the
area and continue our cooler temps through Saturday. WAA takes over
Sunday and we start to warm up back towards the upper 40s to mid 50s
(10 to 15 degrees above average). Low pressure begins to move
towards the area Tuesday from WY and enters western SD Wednesday.
This is still 7 days out, but there could be a chance for some
precipitation with this low pressure.

High resolution models are showing some potential brief visibility
reductions due to fog tonight, mainly west river. Visibilities are
not expected to be reduced a whole lot, maybe down to 2 miles. It
will be a little windy Friday through the weekend and into early
next work week. Friday through Sunday, winds will gust between 25
and 40 mph mainly west river with some spreading as far east as the
James River on Saturday. Monday, the highest gusts look to be in
south central SD and around the Sisseton Hills. Tuesday, gusts
between 30 and 35 mph will affect most of the CWA as the incoming
low fights with remaining high pressure.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 513 PM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

Terminals KABR,KATY,KPIR,KMBG

Cigs remain problematic. There is an area of MVFR/low VFR
stratus stretching across ND and southeast into the James
Valley this evening. Models differ significantly in areal
expansion and depth of stratus through Thursday morning. Added
some MVFR to all sites except KPIR at times, but confidence is
low.

&&

.ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...None.
MN...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...20
DISCUSSION...13
AVIATION...20