506
FXUS63 KABR 080600
AFDABR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
100 AM CDT Wed Apr 8 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- The strong winds will continue through the day today, shifting out
of the west and northwest this morning. Gusts of 30 to 50 mph are
expected, strongest over north central SD during the daytime hours.

- There is a 30 to 60 percent chance of light rain this morning
mainly north of U.S. highway 12. Little to no precipitation is
expected.

- There is a 30 to 50 percent chance of light rain and snow
Thursday, with little to no accumulation expected.

- High temperatures Saturday through Monday will be around 10 to 20
degrees above normal, warmest Sunday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1258 AM CDT Wed Apr 8 2026

As of 1 AM CDT, we have some rain showers moving into north central
SD. These showers are expected to move east across the area through
the morning hours. Accumulations of less than a tenth of an inch are
expected. Temperatures across the area are in the mid to upper 30s
with winds out of the south to southeast at 15 to 20 mph, gusting up
to 30 mph.

A low pressure system will move across the area today and bring our
winds around to be out of the north to northwest. Strong winds will
continue into the early evening hours, gusting 35 to 50 mph, highest
over north central SD where a Wind Advisory will be in effect from
10 AM CDT until 7 PM CDT. Temperatures today will be closer to
normal with highs in the upper 40s to upper 50s, warmest across
south central SD. These warmer temperatures and stronger winds will
create enhanced grassland fire danger across south central SD. Short
term fuels are starting to green up and there has been a good bit of
moisture in the area but the strong winds will be the main concern.
Winds will begin to die down this evening. The next chance for
precipitation will be Thursday. This is expected to be mainly light
snow, changing over to rain during the later afternoon hours south
of Hwy 14. Snow accumulations are expected to be a couple tenths at
most, and melt quickly. WAA showers move in Saturday along with some
gusty winds of 30 to 35 mph as we move from high to low pressure.
Precipitation chances continue into Sunday and Monday as another low
pressure system moves across the area. Chances for more than a half
an inch in 48 hours (ending Tuesday morning) have come down
significantly to around 20-30%. Much cooler air moves in behind the
low as high pressure makes its way south out of Canada, dropping
lows overnight Monday potentially into the mid 20s and highs Tuesday
struggle to recover, potentially only reaching the low to mid 40s.
This may result in some light snow showers Tuesday. Little to no
accumulation is expected at this time.


&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1223 AM CDT Wed Apr 8 2026

Terminals KABR,KATY,KPIR,KMBG

VFR conditions will prevail through Wednesday. However, there is a
brief period Wednesday morning between 12z and 15z when MVFR/IFR
cigs may creep north into KATY. Confidence is low on this
occurring, but it has been added to the taf. Winds will remain
gusty and shift to the west and northwest behind a passing low
pressure system late tonight across central SD and by Wednesday
afternoon in the east.


&&

.ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...Wind Advisory from 9 AM to 6 PM MDT Wednesday for SDZ003-015.

     Wind Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 PM CDT this evening
     for SDZ004-005-009-010.

MN...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...13
AVIATION...20