355
FXUS63 KABR 121727
AFDABR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
1227 PM CDT Fri Jun 12 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- There is a 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms over east
central SD late this afternoon into this evening. No severe weather
is expected at this time.

- After a brief warmup today with highs in the 80s, cooler
temperatures are expected this weekend, ranging in upper 60s to mid
70s. This is about 5-10 degrees below normal for this time of year.

- Winds Saturday are expected to gust between 30 and 40 mph. Highest
wind gusts will be west of the James River.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1227 PM CDT Fri Jun 12 2026

Update for 18Z TAF issuance.

UPDATE Issued at 820 AM CDT Fri Jun 12 2026

The ongoing forecast remains on track. We still are expecting
increasing clouds over mainly eastern SD and west central MN,
with a few showers or thunderstorms developing after 21Z. The
highest chance (near 40% chance) of showers and weak
thunderstorms will be over east central SD, mainly Codington,
Hamlin, Deuel, Grant Counties.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 101 AM CDT Fri Jun 12 2026

As of 1 AM CDT, temperatures around the region are in the low to mid
60s with winds out of the west to northwest at 10-15 mph. Some
showers continue to make their way across central and northeast SD
at this time. These are very isolated showers producing little
precipitation.

Not a whole lot happening today and through the weekend. A cold
front moves through today with highs a bit higher than
Thursday, in the upper 70s to mid 80s. There is a chance for
some showers and thunderstorms in eastern SD this afternoon
into the evening. No severe weather is expected at this time.
Saturday and Sunday are expected to be a little below average
for this time of year, in the upper 60s to mid 70s. Saturday is
expected to be on the windy side with gusts of 30- 40 mph out of
the northwest. The best chance for some precipitation looks to
be Tuesday night through Wednesday as low pressure moves out of
southern Canada and across ND. This could develop some storms
mainly Wednesday afternoon and evening. Cooler temperatures look
to continue through the rest of the 7 day forecast.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1227 PM CDT Fri Jun 12 2026

Terminals KABR,KATY,KPIR,KMBG

VFR conditions are expected to continue through the period.
Isolated showers and a few thunderstorms will be possible today
mainly after 20Z, but coverage is expected to be and confidence
is limited. The highest chance of any precipitation will be at
ATY. Otherwise, winds will increase out of the northwest during
the day Saturday, with gusts of 22-30kts ahead of high pressure
building in from Canada and MT.

&&

.ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...None.
MN...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...06
DISCUSSION...13
AVIATION...06