310
FXUS63 KABR 170626
AFDABR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
126 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Widespread precipitation moves into mainly north central to
northeastern SD/west central MN today. Mainly dry weather will
continue over south central SD.

- Winds out of the northwest will gust 40-50 mph today, particularly
over portions of central SD. Those driving high profile vehicles are
asked to drive with caution. A Wind Advisory is in effect for
central and east central SD from 10 AM to 9 PM CDT.

- The combination of strong winds and dry conditions will result in
elevated fire weather conditions over portions of south central SD,
where relative humidity falls into the 30-40% range this afternoon.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 124 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026

As of 1 AM CDT, temperatures around the region are in the upper 50s
to low 60s. Showers and weak thunderstorms continue to move
northwest to southeast across north central and eastern SD. No
storms are severe at this time. These storms are expected to
continue for the next couple hours.

70-90% chances for showers and storms return today.
Additionally, winds out of the northwest will gust 40 to 45 mph
in central SD before storms begin. There is a 70-80% chance of
gusts higher than 45 mph mainly south of Hwy 14. Gusts closer to
35 to 40 mph are expected west of the James River. Some storms
could pull down some stronger wind gusts, however, forecast
lapse rates are generally less than 7 C/km which would make this
more difficult to accomplish. Some small hail will also be
possible with these storms. There is a Wind Advisory in place
over central SD and portions of east central SD from 10 AM CDT
through 9 PM CDT. The next chance for more widespread
precipitation is Saturday as a low pressure system moves across
to our south. Pops of 60-80% currently cover most of central and
east central SD. There is a chance some storms could become
severe. We will keep an eye on this over the next several days.

Temperatures continue to be around to as much as 10 degrees below
average for this time of year. Along with today, Thursday and Sunday
are expected to be the coolest with highs in the upper 60s to low
70s. Winds don`t look to be anything out of the ordinary for at
least the next several days.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1222 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026

Terminals KABR,KATY,KPIR,KMBG

Showers and isolated thunderstorms continue across the region
tonight. MVFR cigs move in to all sites except KPIR this morning
before clearing by 21z everywhere but KATY.

&&

.ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...Wind Advisory from 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ this morning to 9 PM
     CDT /8 PM MDT/ this evening for SDZ003-009-015>018-
     033>037-045-048-051.
MN...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...13
AVIATION...20