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Forecast Discussion for Aberdeen, SD
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110 FXUS63 KABR 032120 AFDABR Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Aberdeen SD 320 PM CST Tue Feb 3 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Flurries or a light dusting of snow will continue tonight across portions of the region. Pockets of light freezing drizzle cannot be ruled out, with limited impacts. Any snow accumulations expected to be around a half inch or less. - Above normal temperatures are forecast (by 5 to 20 degrees) Wednesday through at least Monday of next week. The warmest air will be overhead Thursday and then again Monday, with highs in the 40s to low 50s. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 320 PM CST Tue Feb 3 2026 Watching the western edge of the stratus deck inch closer to KPIR/KMBG, but indications suggest clouds fill back in westward overnight. Still some remaining low-level moisture and weak lift enough to support some light snow/flurries as a weak mid-level disturbance also moves south across the Dakotas. Can see this wave off to the north on water vapor imagery. Cannot completely rule out some light freezing drizzle as well and have inserted mention of this in the grids/forecast. Warmer air then begins to overspread the region Wednesday and especially by Thursday. By 00Z Friday, 925mb temps rise to between +5C and +10C across the eastern CWA, while central SD may get as high as +15C. Still looking at widespread 40s and 50s for highs on Thursday, with locations across the far western CWA flirting with 60 degrees. In general, inherited NBM temps even into early next week are showing 30s, 40s, and 50s for high temps, with the warmest readings west of the Missouri River. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/... Issued at 1137 AM CST Tue Feb 3 2026 Terminals KABR,KATY,KPIR,KMBG A mix of MVFR/IFR CIGs will continue to affect the region through the TAF period. An area of -SN will affect the KATY area early in the TAF period, with potential MVFR VSBY. Overnight, another weak wave may bring areas of -SN or even pockets of -FZDZ. Will handle this with PROB30 for the time being until better confidence in placement and areal coverage is reached. && .ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... SD...None. MN...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...TMT AVIATION...TMT |
Previous Forecast Discussions may be found at
NWS Aberdeen, SD (ABR) Office Forecast Discussions.
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