Select NOAA-NWS Forecast Office Text Products
(Product availability varies with seasons, forecast office, and weather.)
Forecast Discussion for Aberdeen, SD
To Select Another NWS Office Click on Map or Choose from List
|
| Select Forecast Office: | Select Product: |
991 FXUS63 KABR 150600 AFDABR Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Aberdeen SD 100 AM CDT Mon Jun 15 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - There is a 30-50% chance of showers and thunderstorms over mainly north central to northeastern SD and western MN, with around a 30% chance of rainfall in excess of 0.10, or a wetting rain, for areas north and east of Aberdeen this afternoon through this evening. No severe weather is expected at this time. - Widespread precipitation chances of 70-90% move into mainly north central to northeastern SD/west central MN Wednesday, along with some weak thunderstorms. No severe weather is expected at this time. - There is a 70% chance of winds out of the northwest gusting greater than 45 mph Wednesday afternoon west of the Missouri River. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1259 AM CDT Mon Jun 15 2026 As of 1 AM CDT, temperatures are in the low 50s with winds out of the west at less than 10 mph. Some clouds are moving in from the north that will continue to spread south through the day. There is also a chance for some showers and weak thunderstorms this afternoon across north central and northeast SD. No severe weather is expected at this time. Along with this chance of storms comes some fairly strong wind gusts out of the northwest today at 35 to 40 mph, highest over north central SD. The best chance for widespread precip still looks to be Tuesday night through Wednesday evening as a low pressure system moves towards and across the region. Models are now showing the center of the low pressure moving across SD instead of ND. This hasn`t changed the precipitation forecast much, however, winds Wednesday afternoon have increased and spread farther east. The current forecast has gusts of 55 mph over north central and south central SD. The probability of gusts over 55 mph is around 50% in south central SD and less than 50% elsewhere. Winds above 45 mph are expected to spread as far east as the James River with gusts above 30 mph expected west of the Sisseton Hills/Prairie Coteau region. Another thing that hasn`t changed is the forecast high temperatures through the week and into the weekend. We are still expecting near to slightly below average temperatures. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/... Issued at 1220 AM CDT Mon Jun 15 2026 Terminals KABR,KATY,KPIR,KMBG VFR conditions are expected with increasing west to northwest winds. && .ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... SD...None. MN...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...13 AVIATION...20 |
Previous Forecast Discussions may be found at
NWS Aberdeen, SD (ABR) Office Forecast Discussions.
(Click 'Previous Version' there to view past versions successively.
Some may differ only in time posted.)
Products Courtesy of NOAA-NWS
NWS Information Parsing Script by Ken True at Saratoga Weather - WFO and Products Scripts by SE Lincoln Weather.
Mapping by Curly at Michiana Weather and by Tom at My Mishawaka Weather.