872
FXUS63 KABR 261422 AAA
AFDABR

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
922 AM CDT Wed Aug 26 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- High pressure and quiet weather remain in place through Thursday.

- 45-65% chances for precipitation return Friday. There is a
  25-45 percent chance that eastern SD will receive at least a
  quarter of an inch of precipitation between 7 PM CDT Friday
  and 7 PM CDT Saturday. There is a marginal risk (1 out of 5)
  for severe thunderstorms on Friday.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 921 AM CDT Wed Aug 26 2026

Previous forecast remains on track, so no updates have been made
this morning. High pressure continues to have influence over the
region today, leading to dry conditions and mainly clear skies today
(with the possible exception of some fair weather cumulus this
afternoon). Winds out of the northwest will gust up to 20 to 25
miles per hour this afternoon, with the highest speeds coming over
northeastern South Dakota and western Minnesota. Winds calm
overnight, becoming light and variable, and can`t quite rule out
some pockets of fog developing early Thursday morning.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 111 AM CDT Wed Aug 26 2026

As of 1 AM CDT, temperatures across the region are in the upper 50s
to low 60s with winds out of the west to northwest around 10 mph.
High pressure and quiet weather remain in place today through
Thursday.

Friday morning brings the return of storm chances with an incoming
low pressure system. These storm chances are expected to last
through the day and into early Saturday morning. MLCAPE Friday
afternoon from the EC model is around 1500-2000 J/kg, falling to
between 1200-1500 J/kg Friday evening. Lapse rates are around 7.5
C/km. SPC may put out an outlook for portions of the forecast area.
Some 20-30% precipitation chances return Saturday evening. Limited
precipitation chances exist through the rest of the weekend into the
middle of next work week with increasing chances Tuesday. These
storm chances are too far out to nail down severe potential.

Temperatures will hover right around to slightly above average
through the 7-day forecast. Smoke is pretty limited for the next few
days. Winds look to stay relatively light through the period.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 613 AM CDT Wed Aug 26 2026

Terminals KABR,KATY,KPIR,KMBG

VFR conditions are expected through the next 24 hours.

&&

.ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...None.
MN...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...BC
DISCUSSION...13
AVIATION...20