980
FXUS63 KABR 112314
AFDABR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
514 PM CST Wed Feb 11 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Above normal temperatures, 15-20 degrees warmer than normal, will
continue into the weekend before getting up to 20-25 degrees warmer
than normal this weekend.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 514 PM CST Wed Feb 11 2026

Our mild forecast continues, with only minor adjustments
anticipated this evening mainly with respect to the thicker cloud
cover over our far southern counties.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1024 AM CST Wed Feb 11 2026

Weak low pressure moves into south central SD tonight with a nose of
a sfc trough/warm front extending toward the MN/IA border. Models
have nudged any moisture even farther south. With the exception of a
weak 15 to 20 kt llj potentially ginning up some sprinkles in Lyman
and Jones county early this evening, chances look too slim for a
precip mention. Removed the 15 to 20 pop, accordingly, especially
given the dry westerlies aloft.

Dry conditions and above normal temperatures continue through at
least Monday. High temperatures appear to be 15 to 25 degrees above
average with warmest temps Sunday and Monday as slightly breezier
southerly winds create better mixing.

Tuesday may be the next chance for widespread rain, though
confidence is low at this time range with a wide solution spread in
the track of the low moving into the Plains.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 514 PM CST Wed Feb 11 2026

Terminals KABR,KATY,KPIR,KMBG

VFR conditions will continue over the next 24 hours, along with
winds at or below 10kts. There is fog in the forecast for
northeast of ATY and west of ABR, but the fog is not expected to
move into either site at this time.

&&

.ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...None.
MN...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...06
DISCUSSION...20
AVIATION...06