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Forecast Discussion for Aberdeen, SD

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098
FXUS63 KABR 100641
AFDABR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
1241 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A weak system brings small chances (15-25%) for light rain showers
over north central and northeast SD and west central MN Tuesday
evening. Any rainfall amounts will likely be less than 0.1 inch.

- Brief cool down Wednesday through Friday, with highs only in the
30s and 40s on Thursday. Above normal temperatures likely returning
by Sunday/Monday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1241 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

Early this morning, some areas in the James River Valley have
conditions that could support some localized areas of patchy fog. If
fog were to develop, it will stick around into the morning before
dissipating by mid-morning. The fog will cause lower visibilities at
times, though visibilities should stay above one mile. High surface
pressure over SD will be moving out during the afternoon, and it
will continue to help to move some warm air into SD. Temperatures
today will be 10-15 degrees above normal, with highs in the 50s to
low 60s.

A low surface pressure will be pushing through SD this
evening into the overnight hours. This low pressure will bring in
some precipitation along the northerly side of it, with a 15-25%
chance for some isolated rain showers and some sprinkles over
portions of north central and northeastern SD and west central MN
this evening into the early overnight hours. Not much rainfall is
expected from these rain showers. The ensembles forecast that there
is only a 10-25% chance for greater than 0.01 inch of rain fall over
portions of north central SD and far northeastern SD and west
central MN.

Cold air will be moving in behind the surface low Wednesday through
Friday as some high pressure moves over SD. Temperatures will cool
during that time to be around normal to slightly below normal
Thursday and Friday. High temperatures during that time will be in
the low 30s to mid 40s. The high pressure and some drier air in the
atmosphere will help precipitation to stay out. As the high pressure
moves out late Friday into the weekend, warmer than normal
temperatures start to move back in, with above normal temperatures
Sunday and Monday.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1026 PM CST Mon Nov 9 2026

Terminals KABR,KATY,KPIR,KMBG

VFR conditions. Light winds shift to southerly, with a front
late in the day shifting winds back to the northwest.

&&

.ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...None.
MN...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...12
AVIATION...07

Previous Forecast Discussions may be found at
NWS Aberdeen, SD (ABR) Office Forecast Discussions.
(Click 'Previous Version' there to view past versions successively.
Some may differ only in time posted.)

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