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Forecast Discussion for Aberdeen, SD

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967
FXUS63 KABR 141349
AFDABR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
849 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Near to slightly below normal temperatures will continue through
next Saturday, with high temperatures averaging 5 to 10 degrees
below normal Sunday, Wednesday, and Thursday.

- There is a 60% chance of winds Wednesday out of the northwest
gusting greater than 45 mph for areas west of the Missouri River.

- Widespread precipitation chances of 50-70% move in Wednesday with
some weak thunderstorms possible. No severe weather is expected at
this time.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 848 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

Updated sky grids for a clear sky with very few clouds expected
through the rest of the day. Otherwise, few changes were made to
the ongoing forecast.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 104 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

As of 1 AM CDT, temperatures around the region are in the mid 50s
with winds out of the northwest around 10 mph. Pretty quiet weather
day today with highs in the 70s and northwest winds at 10-15 mph
with gusts up to 25 mph. There are some clouds over northeast SD
moving down into eastern SD. These are expected to continue south
and clear out before sunrise to leave us with mainly sunny skies for
the day.

North central and northeast SD have a chance for some isolated
showers and storms Monday afternoon, moving to primarily eastern SD
during the evening hours as a cold front moves north to south out of
North Dakota. No severe weather is expected with these storms. Our
next best chance for widespread precipitation remains Wednesday with
things starting off over central SD Tuesday evening. High pressure
will be in place Tuesday and will be pushed out by a low pressure
system moving across southern North Dakota during morning hours of
Wednesday. For now, no severe weather is expected. Temperatures
during the 7 day will continue to be right around to about 10
degrees below average for this time of year. This translates to
highs in the 70s. Ahead of that cold front on Monday, winds will get
a bit stronger over central SD, with gusts of 35 to 40 mph during
the afternoon and diminish quickly after sunset. The low on
Wednesday will also bring some strong winds. NBM is currently
forecasting some gusts of almost 60 mph in south central SD. The
chance of gusts higher than 45 mph is 60-70% over central SD.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 607 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

Terminals KABR,KATY,KPIR,KMBG

VFR conditions are expected through tonight.

&&

.ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...None.
MN...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...06
DISCUSSION...13
AVIATION...20

Previous Forecast Discussions may be found at
NWS Aberdeen, SD (ABR) Office Forecast Discussions.
(Click 'Previous Version' there to view past versions successively.
Some may differ only in time posted.)

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