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Forecast Discussion for Aberdeen, SD
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601 FXUS63 KABR 041124 AAA AFDABR Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Aberdeen SD 624 AM CDT Tue Aug 4 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Cooler temperatures will be around today, with highs in the 70s and lows tonight in the 50s. Temperatures will warm slightly into Wednesday, with highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. Temperatures will then continue to warm back up into the weekend. && .UPDATE... Issued at 623 AM CDT Tue Aug 4 2026 Aviation discussion updated below for the 12Z TAFs. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 124 AM CDT Tue Aug 4 2026 There could be some light sprinkles early this morning over south central SD lingering behind a cold front that pushed through last night. Other than these sprinkles, high surface pressure will be moving over SD today through Wednesday. This high pressure will help to keep rain and storms chances out of central and northeastern SD through Wednesday. The wildfire smoke that moved in yesterday has been slowly pushed south by the northerly winds behind the cold front. There might be some lingering light concentrations of smoke at the surface early this morning which will be pushed south out of central and northeastern SD during the morning. There will continue to be some wildfire smoke aloft into Wednesday, which could create some hazy skies at times. The lingering colder air that was pushed into SD by the cold front will continue to keep temperatures today 5 to 15 degrees colder than normal for this time of the year. Highs across central and northeastern SD and west central MN will be in the 70s with lows tonight dropping into the 50s. While the minimum relative humidity this afternoon gets down into the low to mid 20s over north central SD, weaker winds only gusting up to 20 mph will help to keep the fire weather concerns lower. A somewhat flat upper-level ridge will be moving in over SD Wednesday through the rest of the week. This ridge will help to push a little bit warmer air into SD, causing temperatures to rise back up to be around normal. Highs will rise into the 80s then the low 90s over central SD Wednesday into the weekend, with northeastern SD in the upper 70s to 80s. Models hint at a couple of small upper- level shortwaves that move over SD Thursday and onward. This could cause a few surface boundaries to move over the state as well as the next chance for some scattered showers. While the models hint that Thursday night might see some rain, there is variation in the models as to if any of this happens. These potential shortwaves and showers will need to have an eye kept on them to see if models start to come to an agreement over the next few days. && .AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/... Issued at 623 AM CDT Tue Aug 4 2026 Terminals KABR,KATY,KPIR,KMBG VFR conditions are forecast through the TAF period. && .ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... SD...None. MN...None. && $$ UPDATE...TMT DISCUSSION...12 AVIATION...TMT |
Previous Forecast Discussions may be found at
NWS Aberdeen, SD (ABR) Office Forecast Discussions.
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Some may differ only in time posted.)
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