MLCAPE	0-6km Bulk Shear	Mid Level Lapse Rates

SCP	STP - Effective	Hodograph

DCAPE	SHIP	Skew-T

Surface Obs/Initiation

MSLP	Sfc Obs	SFC Dewpoint

2hr MSLP Change	Visible Satellite	3hr Temp Change

Moisture Convergence	SFC Theta-E Advection	SFC Mixing Ratio

2-hr Dewpoint Change	3-hr Theta-E Change	3-hr Mixing Ratio Change

Deep Moist Convergence	Sfc FGen	1000-925 FGen

Vel Tensor Mag	Sfc Divergence & Vort	Deformation & Dilatation

Surface Based Thermo/Shear

SB CAPE	ML CAPE	0-6 km Shear

3hr SB CAPE Change	3hr ML CAPE Change	Effective Shear

Low Level Lapse Rates	Mid Level Lapse Rates	Max LR (in 2-6km layer)
Low Level Lapse Rates - 3hr	Mid Level Lapse Rates - 6hr

Storm Motion (850-300mb Mean Wind)	SB LI	EL Temp / MUCAPE / MUCIN Lightning more likely with MUCAPE > 100 and EL Temp < -20

LCL-LFC Mean RH >40% Favorable for avoiding Dry Air Entrainment

Storm Mode

MSLP/T/Td	925mb Chart	850mb Chart

Mean Wind (850-300mb)	Supercell Composite (> 1)	Supercell Composite (Left-Moving)

Effective Bulk Shear	Anvil Level (9-11km) Winds <40kts - "High Precip" Supercells 40-60kts - "Classic" Supercells >60kts "Low Precip" Supercells	Upwind Propagation

BRN (CAPE/BRNSHR) 10-50 Supercells, > 50 non-supercells, <10 shear-dom environments	Hodograph

Supercell

Supercell Composite (> 1)	Supercell Composite (Left-Moving)	BRN Shear (> 35-40)

Craven/Brooks Sig Severe(>20K)	0-3km SRH (>250 m2/s2)	Sfc-2km Storm Rel Winds (>15-20kts)

Anvil Level (9-11km) Winds <40kts - "High Precip" Supercells 40-60kts - "Classic" Supercells >60kts "Low Precip" Supercells

Tornado Ingredients

Effective SRH Updraft Rotation (>150 m2/s2)	0-1 SRH Updraft Rotation (>150 m2/s2)	0-500m SRH Weak Tor (60-200 m2/s2) Sig Tor (150+ m2/s2)

0-1 km Shear LL Mesocyclone (>20 kts)	LCL Height RFD Bouyancy (<1000 m)

Sig Tor. Parameter (Fixed) Supercell Tors (>1)	Sig Tor. Parameter (Effective) Supercell Tors (>1)	Sig Tor. Parameter (0-500 SRH) Supercell Tors (>1)

EHI (Sfc-1km) EF-2+ Tor have occurred with > 1-2	Tornado 0-1km EHI Adds 0-3km MLCAPE and 0-6km Bulk Wind Diff	Tor Tilting & Stretching

0-3 km Vorticity Generation Parameter Tilting/Stretching of H. Vort. (>0.2 m2/s2)	0-3 km Lapse Rate and ML CAPE LL Parcel Acceleration (>100 J/Kg)	ML Storm Relative Winds (4-6km) Tornadic Supercells tend to have values of 15kts or more

0-2 km Storm Relative Winds Baroclinc H. Vort. Generation	Violent Tor Parm (VTP)	Critical Angle Angle near 90deg infer streamwise vort. near ground

CWASP EF-2+ Tor have occurred with >70	Enhanced Stretching Potential	Anvil Level Storm Relative Winds Baroclinic H. Vort. Generation

Cond. Prob SigTor (Eq1)	Cond. Prob SigTor (Eq1)

Cond. EF0+ Prob. RM Supercell (Eff STP)	Cond. EF2+ Prob. RM Supercell (Eff STP)	Cond. EF4+ Prob. RM Supercell (Eff STP)

Damaging Wind Ingredients

Downdraft CAPE  Downdraft Strength (>700 J/Kg)	Derecho Composite	Low Level Lapse Rate

MCS Maintenance	Microburst Composite Slight (3-4), Chance (5-8), Likely (>=9)	0-3km Bulk Shear (if DCAPE >= 1k) >= 15kts = 60 mph, >= 25kts = 70 mph, >= 30kts = 80 mph * (* only if we also have linear mode & BRN shear 50 m2/s2 or more (strong deep shear)) Values need to be higher for elevated storms

Hail Ingredients

Hail CAPE -10-30 C Layer (>500 J/Kg)	Significant Hail Parameter Greater Than 2 Inch Hail (SHP>2)	Normalized CAPE Parcel Accel. ( > 0.3 = Fat CAPE Profile)
SARS Hail Size "Best Guess"	SARS Sig. Hail Percentage Color Fill: % of Analog with 2+" hail; Contour: # of Matching Cases (100 Common)	Large Hail Parameter (LHP) Hail 1.5-1.75" = 4 Hail >2": Values > 10 Hail >3.5": Values >= 14
Freezing Level Donavon: 10kft FZ = 25kft 50dBZ 13kft FZ = 34.7kft 50dBZ

Elevated Convection

MU CAPE	850 MB Low Level Jet	MU LI
MU CAPE

Non-Supercell Tornado - QLCS/Landspout

QLCS Tor (MUCAPE)	QLCS Tor (MLCAPE)	QLCS Tor - 0-3KM Bulk Shear (>=30kts Line Normal)

QLCS Tor - 0-3KM Bulk Shear (>=30kts Line Normal)	SHERBE - Low CAPE / High Shear Values over 1 favorable	Modified SHERBE

NST Parameter	SFC Vort/0-3 km CAPE	Low Level Lapse Rates

Upper Air

925 MB	925 MB Temp Adv	925 MB FGen

850 MB	850 MB Temp Adv	850 MB FGen

700 MB	700 MB Temp Adv	700 MB FGen

500 MB	500 MB 12hr Height Chg	500 MB Diff Vort Adv

300 MB	300 MB Jet Circulation	400-250 MB Pot Vort Adv

Heavy Rain Ingredients

PWAT	925 mb Moisture Transport	850 mb Moisture Transport

PWAT + 850 mb Moisture Transport	Corfidi Vectors Backbuilding/Regeneration (<15 kts)	Precip. Potential Placement PWAT/RH/Moisture Convergence